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Morning opening: The first act of 2027 French presidential elections
Jakub Krupa
The 2027 French presidential election may be two years out, but its first act will play out in a Paris court this morning, as judges hand down a verdict on charges the far-right leader Marine Le Pen and party officials embezzled money from the European parliament.
Prosecutors asked for a €300,000 (£250,000) fine, a prison sentence and a five-year ban from public office. Crucially, it would apply immediately, even if she appeals against it.
The court’s decision could prove a turning point for Le Pen’s political career blocking her from running in the 2027 race (she said prosecutors wanted her “political death”), and posing major questions about the future of her movement.
But it could also reignite the debate over whether such political bans are even the right tool – or should it be left to the electorate to make final decisions on election day.
Over the weekend, Le Journal du Dimanche, a Sunday paper, published a new presidential poll showing Le Pen as a runaway leader at 37%, over 10% higher than her first round result in 2022. A separate poll in Le Figaro earlier this month suggested 42% of French people wanted her to stand in 2027.
The head judge will begin reading the verdict at 10am Paris time (9am London).
I will bring you all the key reactions from Le Pen, her allies and rivals, and across Europe.
It’s Monday, 31 March 2025, and this is Europe live. It’s Jakub Krupa here.
Good morning.
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Jakub Krupa
It’s past 10am in Paris now, but we need to be patient here: as Angelique said earlier, it may take a while – even several hours - before we get the verdict.
The French media are estimating it could take the head judge two or three hours to read the entire decision.
I will bring you all key updates here.
Not just Le Pen - profile of Louis Aliot
Angelique Chrisafis
Marine Le Pen is not the only National Rally politician whose political career is in the balance.
Louis Aliot, a lawyer who was formerly Le Pen’s romantic partner and is a party vice-president, is the mayor of Perpignan, close to the Spanish border.
With a population of 121,000, Perpignan is the biggest city to be run by the far-right National Rally and is seen as a laboratory for the party’s local government policies ahead of crucial municipal elections next year.
If found guilty and barred from holding public office with immediate effect, Aliot could instantly lose his job as mayor, dealing a blow to the party.
Read about Perpignan run by the far-right here:
Marine Le Pen arrives in court
Marine Le Pen has just arrived in court, but chose not to stop to respond to questions from reporters.
Le Pen's case in Paris court - context
Kim Willsher
Marine Le Pen and 24 others from RN, including party officials, employees, MEPs and assistants, were tried last November on charges of taking money from the European parliament as part of an alleged fake jobs scam. Instead of the money being spent on EU staff, they were accused of having used it to pay party staff in France.
The European parliament estimated the allegedly embezzled funds amounted to about €7m.
Le Pen and the others have denied the charges.
Public prosecutors have demanded Le Pen be given a €300,000 (£250,000) fine, a prison sentence and that she be prevented from holding or seeking to hold a political position or five years.
On Friday, in a case that did not involve Le Pen, France’s constitutional council delivered a blow to the RN figurehead when it ruled that politicians can be barred from office immediately if convicted of a crime.
Any verdict that does not clear Le Pen of wrongdoing will leave her political future in grave doubt.
If she is found guilty of embezzlement she will almost certainly appeal, which will require a new trial to be held, and any prison sentence or fine will be postponed until the appeal hearing is judged.
If she is given a five-year bar on standing for public office with immediate effect it will be unlikely she can enter the 2027 presidential race unless the appeal process is speeded up and she is cleared in time to stand.
If the judges decide the bar on standing should be postponed, she will still have what one RN member described as a “Damoclean sword” hanging over her political campaign.
What’s the full context of this case against Le Pen and what are the possible scenarios, I hear you ask?
You will be pleased to hear that we have a big explainer from Kim Willsher to help us out.
Angelique Chrisafis
At Paris’s criminal court, the head judge will begin reading the verdicts at 10am French time, and will take several hours to do so.
Marine Le Pen and 24 people in the National Rally party, including nine former members of the European Parliament and their 12 parliamentary assistants, are accused of running a vast scheme over many years to embezzle European funds.
They are accused of using money allocated to European parliamentary assistants to instead pay party workers in France.
Jakub Krupa
We will be hearing a lot from our Paris correspondent Angelique Chrisafis today, who is following this case for us.
So, let me bring you her first update.
Morning opening: The first act of 2027 French presidential elections
Jakub Krupa
The 2027 French presidential election may be two years out, but its first act will play out in a Paris court this morning, as judges hand down a verdict on charges the far-right leader Marine Le Pen and party officials embezzled money from the European parliament.
Prosecutors asked for a €300,000 (£250,000) fine, a prison sentence and a five-year ban from public office. Crucially, it would apply immediately, even if she appeals against it.
The court’s decision could prove a turning point for Le Pen’s political career blocking her from running in the 2027 race (she said prosecutors wanted her “political death”), and posing major questions about the future of her movement.
But it could also reignite the debate over whether such political bans are even the right tool – or should it be left to the electorate to make final decisions on election day.
Over the weekend, Le Journal du Dimanche, a Sunday paper, published a new presidential poll showing Le Pen as a runaway leader at 37%, over 10% higher than her first round result in 2022. A separate poll in Le Figaro earlier this month suggested 42% of French people wanted her to stand in 2027.
The head judge will begin reading the verdict at 10am Paris time (9am London).
I will bring you all the key reactions from Le Pen, her allies and rivals, and across Europe.
It’s Monday, 31 March 2025, and this is Europe live. It’s Jakub Krupa here.
Good morning.
