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It’s been a rocky year for Tesla’s financial outlook. The electric vehicle maker once led the market for gas-free cars, but recently has faced falling stock, steep competition and a CEO who has been described as erratic and a chaos maker. Given the events of the past few months, Wall Street has a pessimistic expectation for Tesla’s second-quarter earnings, to be reported after the bell on Wednesday.
Analysts are predicting the company’s second-quarter revenue to be $22.7bn, down 11% from the same time last year, and marking a second straight quarterly decline, according to CNBC.
Tesla’s stock has vacillated throughout 2025, starting the year at a near all-time high of $428 per share in January and then plummeting by nearly half to $222 per share in March. Tesla’s overall stock has dropped nearly 13% this year.
Earlier this month, Tesla released data on its vehicle deliveries and showed a 14% decrease over last year. In Europe, Tesla’s new-car sales fell by 27.9% in May from a year earlier. That was in sharp contrast with other electric vehicle makers, which have seen a jump in sales over the past year.
The volatility at Tesla has been partially attributed to CEO Elon Musk’s role in Donald Trump’s administration as the de facto head of the so-called “department of government efficiency” (Doge). At Doge, Musk led the charge to downsize the federal government, getting rid of various agencies and instituting layoffs in nearly all departments. This sparked mass countrywide protests against Tesla and demands to boycott the company.
By early June, as Musk was scheduled to leave his role as a special government employee, the relationship between the CEO and president had frayed, leading to a spectacular blow-up between the two men. They hurled insults at each other over social media and, once again, Tesla’s stock plunged.
“The Tesla brand is under attack and provides a prime example of negative brand equity rub – the perception of Elon Musk, its chief executive, has rubbed the sheen right out of what once was a darling and soaring automotive brand,” said Dipanjan Chatterjee, a principal analyst for Forrester. “This poses a significant threat to Tesla’s growth, as large parts of the prospect pool are poisoned by what they perceive as a toxic brand that is inseparable from its leader.”
After the Musk and Trump feud, Musk said he was going to focus on running his companies and began hyping the rollout of Tesla’s first driverless robotaxi in Austin, Texas. The launch featured about 10 cars designated to certain areas of the city and had “safety drivers” in the front passenger seat. Although Musk touted the launch as a success, several people posted videos on social media showing the robotaxis driving down the wrong lane, speeding and unable to make left turns.
Two days later, the National Highway Traffic Safety Administration (NHTSA) opened an investigation into the service and requested that Tesla supply the agency with information on the incidents.
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During Tesla’s earnings call on Wednesday, investors will be looking at Musk’s dedication to the company and how he will regain some of the year’s losses. The CEO has said he is not done with Washington, however, and is now starting a new US political party called the America party.
